U.S. presidential polls 2016 latest update: Hillary Clinton leads in most polls

Jardine Malado Thursday, October 06, 2016

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is maintaining her lead against Trump in most polls. She is also favored to win in most of the election forecasts.

Republican U.S. presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks as Democratic U.S. presidential nominee Hillary Clinton listens during their first presidential debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York, U.S., September 26, 2016. | REUTERS/Rick Wilking

The latest results from the Reuters/IPSOS poll show Clinton leading against Trump by almost 13 points at 44.1 percent to 31.5 percent. The last time Trump closed the gap against Clinton was on Sept. 9 when he led by a small fraction of a point at 36 to 35.9 percent.

In the poll conducted by USC Dornsife/L.A. Times, Trump is ahead by almost four points at 46.5 to 42.9 percent. The results from the NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll reveal Clinton maintaining a six-point lead against Trump at 46 to 40 percent.

The poll average by RealClearPolitics indicates Clinton leading by almost 4 points against Trump.

On the state level, Trump is ahead by 7 points in Texas at 45 to 38 percent in the poll by KTVT-CBS 11. In Ohio, Clinton is leading by two points at 44 to 42 percent in the poll by Monmouth.

Clinton also leads by two points in North Carolina at 46 to 44 percent in the poll conducted by WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA. Clinton is ahead by 13 points in New Mexico at 46 to 33 percent in the poll conducted by KOB-TV/SurveyUSA.

The forecast by Upshot indicates that Clinton has an 81 percent chance of winning the elections while Trump only has 19 percent. Other forecasts also favor Clinton over Trump.

FiveThirtyEight predicted that Clinton has a 76 percent chance of winning. In the forecast from DailyKos, she got 82 percent. From The Huffington Post, she got 82 percent. Clinton got 81 percent from PredictWise. She scored the highest in the forecast from the Princeton Election Consortium with 92 percent.

The two candidates faced off against each other at the first presidential debate in Hofstra University last week. The next debate will be held on Sunday, Oct. 9, at Washington University in St. Louis. It will be moderated by CNN anchor Anderson Cooper and ABC Chief Global Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz.